Benevento vs Lumezzane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
15.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
USF
1 - 2
BEN
34%
26%
40%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
ASG
2 - 2
BEN
26%
24%
50%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
BEN
1 - 1
TRI
73%
17%
10%
|
63 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
BEN
1 - 1
JUS
61%
23%
16%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
FOL
2 - 2
BEN
19%
24%
57%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Lumezzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
TOR
1 - 0
ACL
64%
21%
15%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
ACL
4 - 1
PRO
65%
21%
14%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
ACL
2 - 1
SPE
51%
26%
23%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
VER
1 - 0
ACL
56%
25%
19%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
ACL
1 - 0
FCS
67%
21%
12%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |