Pernambucano 1 round 21

Belo Jardim FC vs Central SC analysis

Belo Jardim FC Central SC
41 ELO 43
-7.4% Tilt -3.7%
32241º General ELO ranking 5789º
900º Country ELO ranking 231º
ELO win probability
35.1%
Belo Jardim FC
25.9%
Draw
38.9%
Central SC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
Belo Jardim FC
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
26%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
38.9%
Win probability
Central SC
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Belo Jardim FC
+9%
+2%
Central SC

ELO progression

Belo Jardim FC
Central SC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Belo Jardim FC
Belo Jardim FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Apr. 2012
SAL
Salgueiro
2 - 2
Belo Jardim FC
BEL
69%
19%
12%
38 52 14 0
29 Mar. 2012
BEL
Belo Jardim FC
2 - 0
Petrolina
PET
33%
25%
42%
36 43 7 +2
22 Mar. 2012
BEL
Belo Jardim FC
0 - 3
Santa Cruz
SAN
27%
25%
48%
38 48 10 -2
18 Mar. 2012
SER
Serra Talhada
1 - 1
Belo Jardim FC
BEL
48%
25%
27%
38 39 1 0
15 Mar. 2012
BEL
Belo Jardim FC
1 - 2
América PE
AME
63%
20%
17%
38 27 11 0

Matches

Central SC
Central SC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Apr. 2012
CEN
Central SC
2 - 2
América PE
AME
70%
19%
11%
45 27 18 0
29 Mar. 2012
SER
Serra Talhada
1 - 2
Central SC
CEN
38%
26%
36%
44 39 5 +1
25 Mar. 2012
PET
Petrolina
1 - 1
Central SC
CEN
43%
26%
31%
44 43 1 0
18 Mar. 2012
CEN
Central SC
1 - 2
Santa Cruz
SAN
40%
26%
34%
45 47 2 -1
11 Mar. 2012
ARA
Araripina FC
1 - 1
Central SC
CEN
40%
25%
35%
45 41 4 0