Belgrano vs Independiente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.7%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
51.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
CEN
1 - 0
BEL
66%
21%
12%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
BAN
3 - 1
BEL
64%
23%
13%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
BEL
1 - 0
BOC
14%
23%
64%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
BEL
1 - 1
LAN
22%
28%
51%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
COL
2 - 0
BEL
63%
22%
15%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
IND
1 - 3
COL
54%
25%
21%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2006 |
IND
1 - 2
GIM
59%
24%
18%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
QUI
1 - 3
IND
27%
27%
46%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
IND
2 - 1
ARS
51%
27%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
ARG
2 - 0
IND
32%
27%
40%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | -1 |