Belgrano vs Defensa y Justicia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.6%
17.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
CHI
1 - 3
BEL
50%
26%
24%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2007 |
BEL
2 - 3
SMA
49%
28%
24%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2007 |
QUI
2 - 1
BEL
47%
26%
26%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2007 |
BEL
0 - 2
BHU
71%
21%
8%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
IRV
7 - 0
BEL
28%
29%
43%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Defensa y Justicia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
DYJ
1 - 2
CHA
42%
29%
29%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2007 |
ALM
3 - 0
DYJ
53%
26%
21%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
DYJ
2 - 1
INS
54%
25%
20%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
DYJ
1 - 1
CHI
30%
28%
42%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2007 |
SMA
1 - 0
DYJ
53%
27%
20%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |