Os Belenenses vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.9%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.9%
9.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1961 |
SPC
1 - 1
BEL
33%
24%
43%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1961 |
BEL
1 - 3
HIB
66%
17%
17%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1961 |
BEL
5 - 1
FAB
79%
13%
8%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 1961 |
HIB
3 - 3
BEL
56%
20%
24%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 1961 |
LEX
2 - 1
BEL
45%
22%
33%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1961 |
FAB
1 - 0
VIT
60%
21%
19%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1961 |
VIT
1 - 3
ATL
72%
17%
12%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 1961 |
LEX
4 - 2
VIT
57%
20%
23%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -2 |
| 28 May. 1961 |
SPC
2 - 1
VIT
49%
24%
27%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 May. 1961 |
VIT
4 - 2
FCP
23%
23%
54%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | +2 |