Os Belenenses vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.2%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.9%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.3%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.4%
6.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
FCP
1 - 0
BEL
75%
15%
11%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1961 |
BEL
2 - 1
SPB
82%
11%
6%
|
82 | 58 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1961 |
SCP
2 - 1
BEL
74%
15%
11%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 1961 |
BEL
1 - 0
FAB
76%
15%
10%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1961 |
LGC
1 - 0
BEL
19%
23%
57%
|
83 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
SPC
1 - 1
ACA
50%
24%
25%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1961 |
SPC
1 - 3
FCP
22%
24%
53%
|
58 | 88 | 30 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1961 |
SPB
3 - 0
SPC
59%
21%
20%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -2 |
| 19 Feb. 1961 |
SPC
0 - 3
SCP
24%
24%
53%
|
60 | 87 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1961 |
FAB
1 - 1
SPC
69%
18%
14%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |