Os Belenenses vs Gil Vicente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.3%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
67.2%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
BEL
1 - 1
SCP
60%
22%
18%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
USA
1 - 2
BEL
41%
27%
32%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
BEL
3 - 0
TRO
53%
23%
24%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
BEL
2 - 1
OLI
72%
18%
11%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
VIA
1 - 2
BEL
15%
19%
66%
|
51 | 31 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Gil Vicente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
GFC
3 - 0
ESA
56%
25%
20%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
SLB
5 - 1
GFC
76%
16%
8%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
GFC
1 - 1
CAS
44%
27%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
FAM
1 - 1
GFC
55%
25%
21%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
GFC
0 - 0
SPB
15%
19%
66%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |