Primeira Liga round 17

Os Belenenses vs Porto analysis

Os Belenenses Porto
71 ELO 88
-9.1% Tilt -9.9%
4028º General ELO ranking 72º
58º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
24.3%
Os Belenenses
28.6%
Draw
47.2%
Porto

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.3%
Win probability
Os Belenenses
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.4%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
47.1%
Win probability
Porto
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.3%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Os Belenenses
+26%
+10%
Porto

ELO progression

Os Belenenses
Porto
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Os Belenenses
Os Belenenses
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Dec. 1995
LEC
Leça FC
0 - 5
Os Belenenses
BEL
36%
28%
36%
70 59 11 0
23 Dec. 1995
BEL
Os Belenenses
4 - 1
Chaves
CHA
59%
23%
18%
70 63 7 0
17 Dec. 1995
GFC
Gil Vicente
0 - 0
Os Belenenses
BEL
47%
27%
26%
70 66 4 0
10 Dec. 1995
BEL
Os Belenenses
0 - 1
Sporting CP
SCP
21%
26%
54%
70 88 18 0
26 Nov. 1995
BEL
Os Belenenses
0 - 1
FC Felgueiras
FEL
62%
22%
16%
72 65 7 -2

Matches

Porto
Porto
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Dec. 1995
FCP
Porto
6 - 0
CF Estrela Amadora
EST
77%
16%
7%
88 70 18 0
23 Dec. 1995
VIT
Vitória Guimarães
0 - 2
Porto
FCP
30%
28%
41%
88 76 12 0
17 Dec. 1995
FCP
Porto
5 - 0
Tirsense
TIR
78%
16%
6%
88 66 22 0
10 Dec. 1995
SAL
SC Salgueiros
0 - 4
Porto
FCP
27%
28%
45%
88 70 18 0
06 Dec. 1995
AAB
Aalborg BK
2 - 2
Porto
FCP
43%
27%
30%
88 79 9 0