Os Belenenses vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.2%
29.7%
Draw
0-0
12.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.7%
42.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.2%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1990 |
SCP
1 - 0
BEL
73%
19%
9%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1990 |
BEL
1 - 0
POR
71%
19%
10%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1989 |
FCP
3 - 0
BEL
76%
17%
8%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1989 |
BEL
2 - 1
PEN
71%
19%
11%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1989 |
BEL
1 - 0
BMA
67%
20%
13%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1990 |
SLB
2 - 0
EST
85%
10%
5%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1990 |
UNM
0 - 3
SLB
14%
22%
64%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1989 |
SLB
1 - 1
BOA
77%
16%
8%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1989 |
TIR
1 - 1
SLB
23%
25%
52%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1989 |
SLB
3 - 1
FEI
91%
7%
3%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |