Primeira Liga round 8

Os Belenenses vs Benfica analysis

Os Belenenses Benfica
76 ELO 88
9.5% Tilt -16.6%
3980º General ELO ranking 74º
57º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
30.9%
Os Belenenses
28.9%
Draw
40.2%
Benfica

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31%
Win probability
Os Belenenses
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.4%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
40.1%
Win probability
Benfica
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
22.9%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Os Belenenses
+2%
+8%
Benfica

ELO progression

Os Belenenses
Benfica
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Os Belenenses
Os Belenenses
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Oct. 1988
FAF
Fafe
1 - 1
Os Belenenses
BEL
31%
30%
39%
77 56 21 0
24 Sep. 1988
FAR
Farense
2 - 1
Os Belenenses
BEL
37%
30%
33%
77 63 14 0
18 Sep. 1988
BEL
Os Belenenses
2 - 2
Marítimo
MAR
74%
16%
9%
78 67 11 -1
11 Sep. 1988
ACV
Academico Viseu
1 - 1
Os Belenenses
BEL
27%
31%
42%
78 56 22 0
07 Sep. 1988
LEV
B. Leverkusen
0 - 1
Os Belenenses
BEL
68%
19%
13%
76 81 5 +2

Matches

Benfica
Benfica
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Oct. 1988
SLB
Benfica
3 - 1
Montpellier
MPL
86%
10%
4%
88 77 11 0
01 Oct. 1988
SLB
Benfica
3 - 0
Farense
FAR
80%
14%
6%
88 64 24 0
25 Sep. 1988
MAR
Marítimo
1 - 1
Benfica
SLB
21%
29%
50%
88 67 21 0
18 Sep. 1988
SLB
Benfica
4 - 0
Academico Viseu
ACV
89%
8%
3%
88 56 32 0
11 Sep. 1988
POR
Portimonense
0 - 1
Benfica
SLB
20%
29%
51%
87 66 21 +1