Os Belenenses vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.4%
Win probability
3.05
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.3%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.7%
8.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1937 |
BEL
1 - 1
SCP
48%
21%
32%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1937 |
LEX
3 - 5
BEL
36%
21%
43%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1936 |
BEL
8 - 0
ACA
78%
13%
9%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1936 |
ACA
1 - 2
BEL
34%
22%
44%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 1936 |
BEL
2 - 0
CAR
70%
16%
14%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1937 |
ACA
4 - 2
LEX
51%
22%
27%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1937 |
SCP
7 - 2
ACA
82%
11%
7%
|
59 | 80 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1936 |
BEL
8 - 0
ACA
78%
13%
9%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1936 |
ACA
1 - 2
BEL
34%
22%
44%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1936 |
ACA
0 - 2
VST
37%
22%
40%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | -1 |