Belasica vs Bregalnica Štip analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
52.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
7º
15º
8º
33
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 69 |
1º
|
76.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
33 | 63 |
2º
|
48% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 59 |
3º
|
29% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 56 |
4º
|
24% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 50 |
5º
|
24.5% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 47 |
6º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 45 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
|
10º
|
19 | 43 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 42 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 41 |
10º
|
23% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 36 |
11º
|
28.5% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 32 |
12º
|
27% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 29 |
13º
|
31.5% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 23 |
14º
|
46% | |
|
15º
|
5 | 17 |
15º
|
46.5% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 14 |
16º
|
63.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 68% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 22.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 9.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belasica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
DEP
2 - 1
BEL
46%
25%
30%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
BEL
0 - 0
KGE
56%
24%
21%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
FKS
0 - 2
BEL
35%
26%
39%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
BEL
1 - 0
OSO
69%
18%
13%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
VAR
0 - 1
BEL
12%
16%
72%
|
40 | 12 | 28 | +1 |
Matches
Bregalnica Štip
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
BRE
2 - 1
ARE
42%
25%
33%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
MAK
3 - 0
BRE
44%
26%
29%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
BRE
4 - 0
FKB
83%
12%
5%
|
49 | 21 | 28 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
BRE
2 - 0
VAN
76%
16%
8%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
GOS
1 - 0
BRE
63%
20%
17%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |