Primeira Liga round 25

Beira Mar SC vs Benfica analysis

Beira Mar SC Benfica
56 ELO 88
8% Tilt 11.3%
5879º General ELO ranking 72º
95º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
16.8%
Beira Mar SC
24.5%
Draw
58.7%
Benfica

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.8%
Win probability
Beira Mar SC
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
58.7%
Win probability
Benfica
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.5%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Beira Mar SC
+6%
+11%
Benfica

ELO progression

Beira Mar SC
Benfica
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Beira Mar SC
Beira Mar SC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Mar. 1974
LEX
Leixões
4 - 0
Beira Mar SC
BMA
62%
23%
15%
56 63 7 0
10 Mar. 1974
BMA
Beira Mar SC
0 - 1
Vitória Guimarães
VIT
37%
29%
35%
57 73 16 -1
03 Mar. 1974
BOA
Boavista
2 - 0
Beira Mar SC
BMA
67%
20%
13%
57 65 8 0
24 Feb. 1974
BMA
Beira Mar SC
1 - 2
Porto
FCP
27%
28%
45%
58 83 25 -1
17 Feb. 1974
VST
Vitória Setúbal
0 - 0
Beira Mar SC
BMA
81%
13%
6%
57 87 30 +1

Matches

Benfica
Benfica
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Mar. 1974
SLB
Benfica
5 - 1
Vitória Guimarães
VIT
83%
11%
6%
88 73 15 0
10 Mar. 1974
FCP
Porto
2 - 1
Benfica
SLB
35%
28%
37%
88 83 5 0
03 Mar. 1974
SLB
Benfica
5 - 1
Montijo CD
CDM
89%
7%
4%
88 64 24 0
24 Feb. 1974
FAB
Fabril Barreiro
0 - 2
Benfica
SLB
23%
27%
50%
88 72 16 0
17 Feb. 1974
SLB
Benfica
1 - 0
Farense
FAR
87%
9%
4%
88 68 20 0