Beijing Guoan vs Cangzhou Mighty Lions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
10%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
16%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.3%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.9%
9.8%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beijing Guoan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
LIA
0 - 2
BEI
36%
28%
36%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2016 |
SHA
2 - 2
BEI
58%
23%
19%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
JIA
2 - 1
BEI
50%
25%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2016 |
BEI
1 - 2
CHO
58%
24%
19%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 0
BEI
66%
21%
14%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Cangzhou Mighty Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
SHI
1 - 6
JIA
27%
30%
43%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2016 |
SHA
4 - 1
SHI
76%
16%
8%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
SHI
2 - 2
TIT
42%
28%
31%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
SHI
1 - 1
HEB
43%
27%
30%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
CHO
1 - 0
SHI
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |