Primera Andaluza Jaén round 21

Begíjar CF vs CD Villanueva analysis

Begíjar CF CD Villanueva
21 ELO 17
-8% Tilt -13.6%
8451º General ELO ranking 9897º
868º Country ELO ranking 1976º
ELO win probability
64.7%
Begíjar CF
19.3%
Draw
16%
CD Villanueva

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
Begíjar CF
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
16%
Win probability
CD Villanueva
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Begíjar CF
+1%
+2%
CD Villanueva

ELO progression

Begíjar CF
CD Villanueva
Baeza CF
CD Alcalá Enjoy
Iliturgi 2016
CA Bailén 1808
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Begíjar CF
Begíjar CF
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Feb. 2025
BAE
Baeza CF
2 - 0
Begíjar CF
BEG
31%
24%
44%
23 18 5 0
09 Feb. 2025
CDA
CD Alcalá Enjoy
2 - 3
Begíjar CF
BEG
24%
23%
52%
22 15 7 +1
02 Feb. 2025
BEG
Begíjar CF
1 - 0
Atlético Jaén
ATL
59%
21%
20%
22 19 3 0
26 Jan. 2025
VIL
Vilches
1 - 2
Begíjar CF
BEG
31%
23%
47%
21 15 6 +1
19 Jan. 2025
BEG
Begíjar CF
7 - 2
CD Rus
CDR
74%
15%
11%
21 11 10 0

Matches

CD Villanueva
CD Villanueva
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Feb. 2025
CDV
CD Villanueva
1 - 1
Atlético Jaén
ATL
34%
25%
42%
16 19 3 0
09 Feb. 2025
VIL
Vilches
5 - 0
CD Villanueva
CDV
38%
22%
40%
18 15 3 -2
02 Feb. 2025
CDV
CD Villanueva
4 - 2
CD Rus
CDR
65%
19%
16%
17 11 6 +1
26 Jan. 2025
CAR
Carolinense
3 - 0
CD Villanueva
CDV
67%
18%
15%
18 22 4 -1
19 Jan. 2025
CDV
CD Villanueva
3 - 0
UD Cazorla
CAZ
53%
22%
25%
17 14 3 +1