Stade Beaucairois vs Sud FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.1%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.1%
8.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+200%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
4º
10º
5º
3
12º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
8º
|
6 | 50 |
1º
|
30% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 46 |
2º
|
16% | |
|
1º
|
9 | 46 |
3º
|
13% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 44 |
4º
|
10% | |
|
|
11º
|
5 | 43 |
5º
|
18% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 42 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
3º
|
8 | 42 |
7º
|
13.5% | |
|
2º
|
9 | 38 |
8º
|
9.5% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 34 |
9º
|
12.5% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 33 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 32 |
11º
|
25.5% | |
|
13º
|
2 | 30 |
12º
|
18.5% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 16 |
13º
|
46.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
3 | 15 |
14º
|
59.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
85.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
7% | 4% |
|
Relegation
|
2.5% | 96% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stade Beaucairois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
MON
3 - 1
BEA
40%
25%
35%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
BEA
0 - 0
MAR
41%
26%
34%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ESF
1 - 3
BEA
26%
21%
53%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
BEA
0 - 0
SCR
62%
21%
17%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
BEA
0 - 1
ASC
71%
17%
12%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Sud FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
SFC
2 - 1
SAM
14%
19%
68%
|
6 | 32 | 26 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
SFC
2 - 3
MON
11%
17%
72%
|
6 | 37 | 31 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
MAR
4 - 0
SFC
85%
10%
5%
|
6 | 37 | 31 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SFC
1 - 2
ESF
11%
17%
72%
|
7 | 26 | 19 | -1 |