Bayreuth SpVgg vs Würzburger FV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
12.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+131%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2002 |
SAN
1 - 2
BAY
49%
23%
29%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
TSV
5 - 0
BAY
54%
22%
24%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -2 |
| 09 Mar. 2002 |
BAY
0 - 1
186
31%
25%
44%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2002 |
QUF
0 - 1
BAY
52%
24%
24%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2001 |
ING
2 - 2
BAY
75%
16%
9%
|
30 | 55 | 25 | +1 |
Matches
Würzburger FV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2002 |
GRE
4 - 0
WUR
77%
15%
9%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
WUR
1 - 3
SAN
57%
21%
22%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -2 |
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
WEI
2 - 0
WUR
54%
24%
22%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2002 |
WUR
4 - 2
TSV
35%
25%
40%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | +3 |
| 03 Mar. 2002 |
186
2 - 0
WUR
72%
18%
11%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | -1 |