Bayern München vs Stuttgart analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
12.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1986 |
BYM
6 - 0
MON
69%
17%
14%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1986 |
BRE
0 - 0
BYM
51%
23%
27%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1986 |
BYM
0 - 0
LEV
79%
13%
8%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1986 |
BVB
0 - 3
BYM
27%
24%
48%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1986 |
BYM
5 - 0
KAI
80%
13%
8%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Stuttgart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1986 |
STU
2 - 1
BRE
50%
23%
27%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1986 |
LEV
2 - 1
STU
38%
25%
37%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1986 |
STU
4 - 0
BVB
74%
15%
11%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1986 |
KAI
2 - 2
STU
36%
25%
40%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1986 |
STU
2 - 1
EIN
75%
15%
10%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |