Bayern München vs SC Freiburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.3%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.4%
7.3%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
1º
4º
1º
24
2º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
36 | 83 |
1º
|
88.5% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 74 |
2º
|
67.5% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 64 |
3º
|
39.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 62 |
4º
|
27.5% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 58 |
5º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 56 |
6º
|
20.5% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 50 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
24 | 50 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 49 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 47 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 47 |
11º
|
15% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 37 |
12º
|
26% | |
|
15º
|
14 | 36 |
13º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 35 |
14º
|
21.5% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 33 |
15º
|
23.5% | |
|
16º
|
10 | 30 |
16º
|
23.5% | |
|
17º
|
8 | 24 |
17º
|
46% | |
|
18º
|
3 | 20 |
18º
|
63% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
88.5% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
11.5% | 4% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 9% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 15% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 72% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
WOL
2 - 3
BYM
5%
10%
85%
|
99 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
BYM
4 - 0
GCZ
86%
10%
4%
|
99 | 76 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
ULM
0 - 4
BYM
4%
9%
88%
|
99 | 74 | 25 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
BYM
3 - 0
WAT
85%
11%
4%
|
99 | 77 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
TOT
2 - 3
BYM
15%
17%
69%
|
99 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
SC Freiburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SCF
3 - 1
STU
32%
24%
45%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
OSN
0 - 4
SCF
15%
21%
64%
|
89 | 69 | 20 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
SCF
2 - 2
FIO
43%
25%
33%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
STR
2 - 2
SCF
26%
24%
50%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
SCF
2 - 2
SGF
69%
18%
13%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |