Bayern München vs Heidenheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.8%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
13.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.7%
4.5%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
1º
4º
1º
10
1º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
36 | 83 |
1º
|
88.5% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 74 |
2º
|
67.5% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 64 |
3º
|
43% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 62 |
4º
|
34.5% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 58 |
5º
|
23% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 55 |
6º
|
27.5% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 50 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 50 |
8º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 49 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 47 |
10º
|
16.5% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 46 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 37 |
12º
|
22.5% | |
|
15º
|
14 | 36 |
13º
|
22% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 33 |
14º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 33 |
15º
|
25% | |
|
|
16º
|
10 | 29 |
16º
|
38% | |
|
18º
|
6 | 22 |
17º
|
28.5% | |
|
17º
|
8 | 21 |
18º
|
39% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
88.5% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
11.5% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 42.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 38% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 19.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2024 |
BYM
0 - 1
LEV
57%
21%
22%
|
100 | 98 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
BVB
1 - 1
BYM
19%
18%
63%
|
100 | 97 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2024 |
BYM
1 - 0
PSG
68%
17%
14%
|
100 | 95 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2024 |
BYM
3 - 0
AUG
85%
11%
4%
|
100 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
STP
0 - 1
BYM
3%
8%
89%
|
99 | 86 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Heidenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
HEI
0 - 4
EIN
21%
21%
58%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2024 |
HEI
0 - 2
CHL
19%
21%
60%
|
86 | 95 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
LEV
5 - 2
HEI
78%
15%
7%
|
86 | 98 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
HEI
1 - 3
WOL
40%
24%
36%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2024 |
HOM
0 - 2
HEI
32%
24%
44%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |