Bayern München vs Greuther Fürth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
14.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1959 |
BAY
5 - 3
BYM
42%
22%
36%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1959 |
ULM
0 - 2
BYM
49%
22%
29%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1959 |
BYM
1 - 2
FSV
77%
14%
9%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -2 |
| 10 May. 1959 |
REU
2 - 1
BYM
43%
23%
34%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | -2 |
| 03 May. 1959 |
BYM
2 - 5
FCN
55%
22%
23%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Greuther Fürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1959 |
SGF
2 - 2
SCH
72%
17%
12%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1959 |
REU
0 - 2
SGF
52%
22%
26%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1959 |
SGF
0 - 0
VIK
70%
17%
13%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1959 |
EIN
5 - 3
SGF
69%
18%
13%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | -2 |
| 10 May. 1959 |
MUN
1 - 1
SGF
63%
19%
18%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |