Bayern München vs Ingolstadt 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.9%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.3%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.2%
3-0
14.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.1%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.1%
3.9%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
HAN
2 - 1
BYM
13%
19%
67%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2011 |
NAP
1 - 1
BYM
19%
23%
59%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
BYM
4 - 0
HER
79%
14%
7%
|
93 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
HOF
0 - 0
BYM
11%
18%
72%
|
93 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2011 |
BYM
2 - 0
MAC
58%
22%
19%
|
93 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ingolstadt 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
AAA
3 - 1
ING
53%
23%
24%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
MSV
3 - 1
ING
65%
21%
14%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
ING
3 - 5
RTV
37%
28%
35%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2011 |
PAD
4 - 1
ING
46%
26%
28%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2011 |
ING
4 - 2
SGD
46%
27%
27%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |