Bayern München vs B. Dortmund analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
21.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
BYM
2 - 2
M05
84%
11%
5%
|
94 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2017 |
RMA
4 - 2
BYM
53%
21%
25%
|
94 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
LEV
0 - 0
BYM
15%
21%
65%
|
94 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2017 |
BYM
1 - 2
RMA
50%
22%
28%
|
94 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
BYM
4 - 1
BVB
56%
22%
23%
|
94 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
MON
2 - 3
BVB
23%
22%
55%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2017 |
MON
3 - 1
BVB
25%
22%
53%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
BVB
3 - 1
EIN
76%
15%
8%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2017 |
BVB
2 - 3
MON
66%
19%
15%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
BYM
4 - 1
BVB
56%
22%
23%
|
92 | 94 | 2 | 0 |