Bayern Hof vs TSV Kornburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
34%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
6º
16º
16º
30
5º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
46 | 72 |
1º
|
42.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 69 |
2º
|
31% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 69 |
3º
|
37% | |
|
1º
|
48 | 65 |
4º
|
50.5% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 53 |
5º
|
35% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 50 |
6º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 49 |
7º
|
16.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 48 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 47 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
|
12º
|
30 | 44 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 44 |
11º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 43 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 42 |
13º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 40 |
14º
|
21% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 33 |
15º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
21 | 33 |
16º
|
41% | |
|
17º
|
16 | 25 |
17º
|
70% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 15 |
18º
|
92% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
11.5% | 84% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
88.5% | 16% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern Hof
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
NEU
3 - 2
BAY
44%
24%
32%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
BAY
1 - 3
AMM
46%
24%
30%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -2 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
FCE
1 - 5
BAY
31%
22%
47%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +2 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
BAY
0 - 1
ELT
35%
25%
40%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -2 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
BAY
1 - 1
NEU
56%
23%
21%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
TSV Kornburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
ATS
2 - 0
KOR
36%
25%
39%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
KOR
2 - 1
NEU
48%
25%
28%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
KOR
1 - 0
JRE
43%
25%
33%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
WUR
1 - 1
KOR
19%
20%
62%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
TSV
4 - 1
KOR
46%
23%
31%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -1 |