Oberliga Bayern Nord round 12

Bayern Hof vs ASV Cham analysis

Bayern Hof ASV Cham
39 ELO 39
-4.2% Tilt 2.2%
7032º General ELO ranking 6404º
258º Country ELO ranking 237º
ELO win probability
42.3%
Bayern Hof
24.8%
Draw
33%
ASV Cham

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
Bayern Hof
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
32.9%
Win probability
ASV Cham
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bayern Hof
-20%
-4%
ASV Cham

Points and table prediction

Bayern Hof
Their league position
ASV Cham
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
15º
14º
25
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Ingolstadt 04 II
45
72
44%
VfB Eichstätt
43
70
34%
Eltersdorf
43
67
37%
ATSV Erlangen
44
65
41.5%
Fortuna Regensburg
29
55
31.5%
TSV Abtswind
31
55
24.5%
Weiden
29
47
17.5%
ASV Neumarkt
32
47
17%
ASV Cham
12º
25
46
13.5%
Neudrossenfeld
10º
28
43
10º
15%
TSV Kornburg
11º
27
42
11º
19%
Würzburger FV
30
42
12º
9.5%
DJK Gebenbach
13º
23
41
13º
11.5%
Bayern Hof
14º
21
36
14º
18%
Ammerthal
15º
21
36
15º
16%
Jahn Regensburg II
16º
16
34
16º
25%
FC Eintracht Münchberg
17º
16
28
17º
57%
TSV Karlburg
18º
10
15
18º
96%
Expected probabilities
Bayern Hof
ASV Cham
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
31% 90%
Relegation play-offs
69% 10%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Bayern Hof
ASV Cham
DJK Gebenbach
ASV Neumarkt
TSV Kornburg
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bayern Hof
Bayern Hof
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Sep. 2024
TSK
TSV Karlburg
1 - 3
Bayern Hof
BAY
15%
19%
66%
38 24 14 0
07 Sep. 2024
NEU
Neudrossenfeld
1 - 1
Bayern Hof
BAY
37%
25%
38%
38 36 2 0
31 Aug. 2024
BAY
Bayern Hof
0 - 1
ATSV Erlangen
ATS
35%
25%
40%
38 42 4 0
24 Aug. 2024
JRE
Jahn Regensburg II
1 - 1
Bayern Hof
BAY
44%
23%
32%
38 36 2 0
17 Aug. 2024
BAY
Bayern Hof
2 - 4
Würzburger FV
WUR
71%
17%
12%
38 28 10 0

Matches

ASV Cham
ASV Cham
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Sep. 2024
ATS
ATSV Erlangen
1 - 1
ASV Cham
ASV
53%
24%
24%
39 43 4 0
31 Aug. 2024
ASV
ASV Cham
4 - 1
Jahn Regensburg II
JRE
43%
24%
33%
37 37 0 +2
24 Aug. 2024
WUR
Würzburger FV
2 - 1
ASV Cham
ASV
29%
22%
49%
38 30 8 -1
17 Aug. 2024
ASV
ASV Cham
3 - 2
DJK Gebenbach
DJK
43%
22%
35%
37 36 1 +1
14 Aug. 2024
KOR
TSV Kornburg
4 - 1
ASV Cham
ASV
36%
26%
38%
39 37 2 -2