Bayern Hof vs ASV Cham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
31.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
6º
14º
11º
12
1º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
25 | 72 |
1º
|
41.5% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 68 |
2º
|
23% | |
|
1º
|
28 | 66 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 55 |
4º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 54 |
5º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 53 |
6º
|
9.5% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 53 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 52 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 49 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 48 |
10º
|
7.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
12 | 44 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
12 | 44 |
12º
|
8.5% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 44 |
13º
|
8% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 41 |
14º
|
14% | |
|
17º
|
5 | 36 |
15º
|
17.5% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 36 |
16º
|
18.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 28 |
17º
|
41.5% | |
|
18º
|
3 | 12 |
18º
|
89% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
68.5% | 66.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
31.5% | 33% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern Hof
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
TSK
1 - 3
BAY
15%
19%
66%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
NEU
1 - 1
BAY
37%
25%
38%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
BAY
0 - 1
ATS
35%
25%
40%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
JRE
1 - 1
BAY
44%
23%
32%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
BAY
2 - 4
WUR
71%
17%
12%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
ASV Cham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
ATS
1 - 1
ASV
53%
24%
24%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ASV
4 - 1
JRE
43%
24%
33%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +2 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
WUR
2 - 1
ASV
29%
22%
49%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
ASV
3 - 2
DJK
43%
22%
35%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
KOR
4 - 1
ASV
36%
26%
38%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -2 |