Oberliga Hessen round 19

Bayern Alzenau vs Viktoria Aschaffenburg analysis

Bayern Alzenau Viktoria Aschaffenburg
28 ELO 28
-3.1% Tilt -5.5%
6136º General ELO ranking 5150º
215º Country ELO ranking 169º
ELO win probability
35.5%
Bayern Alzenau
23.9%
Draw
40.6%
Viktoria Aschaffenburg

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.5%
Win probability
Bayern Alzenau
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
40.6%
Win probability
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bayern Alzenau
+67%
-18%
Viktoria Aschaffenburg

ELO progression

Bayern Alzenau
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bayern Alzenau
Bayern Alzenau
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Nov. 2006
FVB
Bad Vilbel
2 - 0
Bayern Alzenau
BAY
41%
24%
35%
28 21 7 0
12 Nov. 2006
BUC
Buchonia Flieden
1 - 1
Bayern Alzenau
BAY
45%
24%
31%
28 25 3 0
04 Nov. 2006
BAY
Bayern Alzenau
0 - 2
Wörsdorf
WOR
60%
22%
18%
30 25 5 -2
28 Oct. 2006
FRA
Eintracht Frankfurt II
1 - 2
Bayern Alzenau
BAY
49%
24%
27%
29 27 2 +1
21 Oct. 2006
BAY
Bayern Alzenau
4 - 3
KSV Baunatal
BAU
62%
21%
17%
28 21 7 +1

Matches

Viktoria Aschaffenburg
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Nov. 2006
VIK
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
2 - 0
Fernwald
FER
73%
17%
11%
30 24 6 0
11 Nov. 2006
VIK
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
4 - 0
FSV Braunfels
BRA
84%
11%
5%
30 15 15 0
04 Nov. 2006
KKA
Klein-Karben
1 - 2
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
VIK
36%
26%
39%
29 25 4 +1
28 Oct. 2006
VIK
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
0 - 1
Borussia Fulda
FUL
50%
24%
26%
31 34 3 -2
21 Oct. 2006
WUR
Würges
0 - 4
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
VIK
36%
22%
42%
30 22 8 +1