Bayern Alzenau vs Waldgirmes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
13%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
1º
4º
1º
13
3º
16º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
19 | 80 |
1º
|
50% | |
|
2º
|
18 | 74 |
2º
|
23.5% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 68 |
3º
|
16.5% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 66 |
4º
|
19.5% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 64 |
5º
|
15.5% | |
|
3º
|
17 | 62 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 59 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
13 | 57 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 48 |
9º
|
5.5% | |
|
17º
|
4 | 46 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 46 |
11º
|
8% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 46 |
12º
|
8.5% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 44 |
13º
|
10.5% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 43 |
14º
|
7% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 39 |
15º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 33 |
16º
|
14.5% | |
|
18º
|
3 | 32 |
17º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 30 |
18º
|
21% | |
|
19º
|
2 | 25 |
19º
|
42% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
50% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
27% | 3.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
23% | 84.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 3.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 8% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern Alzenau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
WOL
1 - 3
BAY
20%
22%
58%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
TUR
0 - 1
BAY
42%
23%
35%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
BAY
2 - 2
EDD
60%
21%
19%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
FCH
0 - 4
BAY
18%
19%
64%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
BAY
3 - 1
TUR
32%
24%
44%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Waldgirmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
WAL
0 - 3
DAR
83%
11%
6%
|
34 | 15 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
TUR
0 - 3
WAL
73%
15%
12%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | +3 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
WAL
2 - 1
TSV
70%
16%
15%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
WAL
3 - 2
FER
30%
22%
49%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | +2 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
STE
1 - 1
WAL
42%
22%
37%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -1 |