Oberliga Hessen round 27

Bayern Alzenau vs Buchonia Flieden analysis

Bayern Alzenau Buchonia Flieden
34 ELO 30
3.4% Tilt -4.1%
6136º General ELO ranking 15048º
215º Country ELO ranking 949º
ELO win probability
61.5%
Bayern Alzenau
20%
Draw
18.5%
Buchonia Flieden

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
Bayern Alzenau
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
18.5%
Win probability
Buchonia Flieden
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bayern Alzenau
+90%
+89%
Buchonia Flieden

ELO progression

Bayern Alzenau
Buchonia Flieden
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bayern Alzenau
Bayern Alzenau
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Apr. 2015
BAY
Bayern Alzenau
1 - 2
Eschborn
ESC
66%
19%
15%
36 27 9 0
28 Mar. 2015
VEL
Vellmar
0 - 1
Bayern Alzenau
BAY
30%
24%
46%
35 24 11 +1
21 Mar. 2015
BAY
Bayern Alzenau
3 - 0
Lohfelden
LOH
67%
18%
15%
34 25 9 +1
14 Mar. 2015
SVW
SV Wiesbaden
1 - 2
Bayern Alzenau
BAY
47%
22%
31%
34 31 3 0
07 Mar. 2015
BAY
Bayern Alzenau
1 - 0
Wehen Wiesbaden II
WEH
48%
23%
29%
32 32 0 +2

Matches

Buchonia Flieden
Buchonia Flieden
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Apr. 2015
SVW
SV Wiesbaden
0 - 1
Buchonia Flieden
BUC
60%
19%
22%
27 32 5 0
28 Mar. 2015
BUC
Buchonia Flieden
1 - 0
Lohfelden
LOH
60%
19%
21%
26 24 2 +1
22 Mar. 2015
WEH
Wehen Wiesbaden II
0 - 0
Buchonia Flieden
BUC
50%
23%
27%
26 30 4 0
14 Mar. 2015
BUC
Buchonia Flieden
3 - 2
Rot-Weiß Hadamar
ROT
35%
24%
42%
24 34 10 +2
07 Mar. 2015
ROT
Rot-Weiß Darmstadt
2 - 4
Buchonia Flieden
BUC
27%
22%
51%
23 17 6 +1