Oberliga Hessen round 5

KSV Baunatal vs FC Giessen analysis

KSV Baunatal FC Giessen
30 ELO 39
-6.6% Tilt -1.4%
7114º General ELO ranking 4357º
263º Country ELO ranking 133º
ELO win probability
23.8%
KSV Baunatal
22.3%
Draw
53.9%
FC Giessen

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.8%
Win probability
KSV Baunatal
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.3%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
53.9%
Win probability
FC Giessen
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
KSV Baunatal
-39%
-26%
FC Giessen

Points and table prediction

KSV Baunatal
Their league position
FC Giessen
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
67
12º
73
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Türkgücü Friedberg
71
74
100%
FC Giessen
73
73
100%
KSV Baunatal
67
67
100%
Bayern Alzenau
63
63
100%
Hanauer SC 1960
57
60
100%
Eddersheim
55
55
100%
Hünfelder SV
54
54
100%
Fernwald
50
50
100%
Adler Weidenhausen
50
50
100%
Rot-Weiß Walldorf
10º
46
46
10º
100%
Waldgirmes
11º
40
40
11º
100%
Eintracht Stadtallendorf
12º
39
39
12º
100%
Marburg
14º
34
34
13º
0%
FC Hanau 93
13º
34
34
14º
0%
SV Steinbach 1920
15º
33
33
15º
100%
Viktoria Griesheim
16º
33
33
16º
100%
FC Erlensee
17º
27
27
17º
100%
Dietkirchen
18º
24
24
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
KSV Baunatal
FC Giessen
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 100%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

KSV Baunatal
FC Giessen
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

KSV Baunatal
KSV Baunatal
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Aug. 2023
EIN
Eintracht Stadtallendorf
6 - 0
KSV Baunatal
BAU
44%
22%
34%
32 29 3 0
12 Aug. 2023
BAU
KSV Baunatal
3 - 0
FC Hanau 93
FCH
44%
23%
33%
30 30 0 +2
06 Aug. 2023
STE
SV Steinbach 1920
2 - 2
KSV Baunatal
BAU
37%
23%
40%
30 25 5 0
29 Jul. 2023
BAU
KSV Baunatal
1 - 1
Türkgücü Friedberg
TUR
35%
23%
42%
29 33 4 +1
24 May. 2023
BAU
KSV Baunatal
2 - 0
Fernwald
FER
35%
23%
42%
27 32 5 +2

Matches

FC Giessen
FC Giessen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Aug. 2023
GIE
FC Giessen
1 - 1
Hünfelder SV
HUN
81%
13%
6%
39 21 18 0
12 Aug. 2023
MAR
Marburg
0 - 0
FC Giessen
GIE
10%
15%
75%
39 17 22 0
05 Aug. 2023
GIE
FC Giessen
1 - 3
Eddersheim
EDD
68%
18%
14%
41 30 11 -2
29 Jul. 2023
FER
Fernwald
1 - 4
FC Giessen
GIE
30%
22%
48%
39 30 9 +2
22 Jul. 2023
SPO
Siegen Sportfreunde
2 - 0
FC Giessen
GIE
19%
22%
59%
39 26 13 0