Bath City vs Truro City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
21.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bath City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
BAT
2 - 0
SLO
50%
24%
26%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
CON
2 - 1
BAT
40%
26%
34%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
DAR
3 - 0
BAT
43%
25%
32%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -2 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
GLO
0 - 0
BAT
15%
23%
63%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
BAT
3 - 2
GUL
34%
29%
37%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Truro City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2019 |
WHI
0 - 1
WOK
30%
23%
47%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
STA
2 - 2
WHI
50%
23%
28%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
WHI
2 - 0
OXF
36%
24%
41%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +2 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
BIL
3 - 2
WHI
67%
18%
15%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2019 |
WHI
1 - 2
WEA
47%
24%
29%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |