National League South round 33

Bath City vs Truro City analysis

Bath City Truro City
45 ELO 38
-11.1% Tilt -9.4%
4680º General ELO ranking 5372º
169º Country ELO ranking 207º
ELO win probability
55.7%
Bath City
22.8%
Draw
21.5%
Truro City

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
Bath City
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
21.5%
Win probability
Truro City
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bath City
-31%
+49%
Truro City

ELO progression

Bath City
Truro City
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bath City
Bath City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Feb. 2019
BAT
Bath City
2 - 0
Slough Town
SLO
50%
24%
26%
45 41 4 0
16 Feb. 2019
CON
Concord Rangers
2 - 1
Bath City
BAT
40%
26%
34%
46 43 3 -1
09 Feb. 2019
DAR
Dartford
3 - 0
Bath City
BAT
43%
25%
32%
47 44 3 -1
26 Jan. 2019
GLO
Gloucester City
0 - 0
Bath City
BAT
15%
23%
63%
47 30 17 0
19 Jan. 2019
BAT
Bath City
3 - 2
Torquay United
GUL
34%
29%
37%
47 51 4 0

Matches

Truro City
Truro City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Feb. 2019
WHI
Truro City
0 - 1
Woking
WOK
30%
23%
47%
39 47 8 0
23 Feb. 2019
STA
St. Albans City
2 - 2
Truro City
WHI
50%
23%
28%
39 41 2 0
16 Feb. 2019
WHI
Truro City
2 - 0
Oxford City
OXF
36%
24%
41%
37 43 6 +2
09 Feb. 2019
BIL
Billericay Town
3 - 2
Truro City
WHI
67%
18%
15%
37 45 8 0
05 Feb. 2019
WHI
Truro City
1 - 2
Wealdstone
WEA
47%
24%
29%
38 41 3 -1