National League South Playoff Quarter-finals

Bath City vs Dorking Wanderers analysis

Bath City Dorking Wanderers
45 ELO 44
-13.5% Tilt -11.1%
4680º General ELO ranking 5419º
169º Country ELO ranking 211º
ELO win probability
43.2%
Bath City
25.4%
Draw
31.4%
Dorking Wanderers

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
Bath City
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
31.5%
Win probability
Dorking Wanderers
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bath City
-28%
+44%
Dorking Wanderers

ELO progression

Bath City
Dorking Wanderers
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bath City
Bath City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Mar. 2020
HUN
Hungerford Town
0 - 1
Bath City
BAT
21%
25%
54%
46 34 12 0
07 Mar. 2020
BAT
Bath City
0 - 0
Weymouth
WEY
32%
25%
43%
45 48 3 +1
29 Feb. 2020
BRA
Braintree Town
2 - 0
Bath City
BAT
16%
23%
61%
47 31 16 -2
22 Feb. 2020
BAT
Bath City
3 - 2
Dulwich Hamlet FC
DUL
62%
23%
16%
47 39 8 0
18 Feb. 2020
MAI
Maidstone United
0 - 2
Bath City
BAT
44%
25%
30%
46 45 1 +1

Matches

Dorking Wanderers
Dorking Wanderers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Mar. 2020
DOR
Dorking Wanderers
1 - 2
Havant & Waterlooville
HAV
36%
25%
40%
44 49 5 0
07 Mar. 2020
HEM
Hemel Hempstead Town
1 - 0
Dorking Wanderers
DOR
23%
24%
52%
45 36 9 -1
29 Feb. 2020
DOR
Dorking Wanderers
3 - 5
Slough Town
SLO
47%
24%
29%
46 46 0 -1
22 Feb. 2020
WEA
Wealdstone
3 - 1
Dorking Wanderers
DOR
50%
25%
26%
48 49 1 -2
18 Feb. 2020
OXF
Oxford City
2 - 1
Dorking Wanderers
DOR
29%
24%
48%
49 41 8 -1