Bastia vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
27.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1984 |
STL
2 - 1
BAS
53%
26%
21%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1984 |
BAS
2 - 1
STR
52%
26%
22%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1984 |
RAC
0 - 0
BAS
57%
23%
19%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1984 |
BAS
3 - 0
FCR
57%
24%
18%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 1984 |
SOC
4 - 0
BAS
66%
21%
13%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1984 |
TFC
0 - 1
PSG
42%
24%
34%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1984 |
BRE
2 - 2
TFC
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1984 |
TFC
1 - 3
NAN
37%
26%
37%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1984 |
SPO
2 - 1
TFC
36%
28%
36%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 1984 |
TFC
1 - 0
LIL
58%
23%
19%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |