Bastia vs Olympique Marseille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
27.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1986 |
BAS
0 - 2
GIR
21%
29%
51%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1986 |
LHA
5 - 2
BAS
64%
21%
16%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 1986 |
LIL
2 - 2
BAS
59%
24%
18%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1986 |
BAS
0 - 2
TFC
39%
28%
34%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 1986 |
AUX
2 - 0
BAS
72%
18%
10%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1986 |
MAR
0 - 0
MET
48%
25%
27%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1986 |
MON
0 - 0
MAR
73%
17%
10%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1986 |
MAR
0 - 1
STR
67%
19%
13%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 1986 |
REN
1 - 2
MAR
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 1986 |
MAR
2 - 3
SPO
59%
22%
19%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |