Bastia vs Olympique Lyonnais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
5%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.3%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
64.4%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
12%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
GIR
1 - 0
BAS
63%
23%
14%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
BAS
1 - 0
AJA
38%
26%
37%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
TRO
0 - 0
BAS
51%
25%
24%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
BAS
0 - 1
NIC
27%
27%
46%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2013 |
PSG
3 - 1
BAS
79%
14%
7%
|
69 | 90 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Olympique Lyonnais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
LYO
0 - 0
MAR
60%
22%
19%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
BRE
1 - 1
LYO
16%
22%
63%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
LYO
3 - 1
LOR
67%
19%
14%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2013 |
LYO
1 - 1
TOT
49%
24%
27%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
GIR
0 - 4
LYO
33%
26%
41%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |