Bastia vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1972 |
LIL
1 - 0
BAS
40%
27%
33%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1972 |
BAS
1 - 0
GIR
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 1972 |
ANG
2 - 0
BAS
61%
21%
19%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 1972 |
BAS
1 - 1
LYO
56%
23%
21%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1972 |
MAR
0 - 2
BAS
72%
17%
11%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1972 |
ASN
3 - 1
ASS
28%
25%
47%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1972 |
NIC
1 - 0
ASN
53%
25%
22%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1972 |
ASN
1 - 1
RED
66%
22%
13%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1972 |
ASN
2 - 0
AJA
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1972 |
LIL
1 - 1
ASN
42%
28%
30%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |