Bastia vs Monaco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
51.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1996 |
MPL
3 - 1
BAS
54%
25%
21%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1996 |
BAS
0 - 0
NAN
32%
26%
42%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1996 |
ASN
2 - 2
BAS
35%
28%
38%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1996 |
BAS
4 - 2
CAE
52%
25%
23%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1996 |
STR
1 - 3
BAS
60%
23%
17%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1996 |
MON
3 - 1
REN
70%
20%
11%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1996 |
AUX
2 - 0
MON
45%
26%
29%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1996 |
MON
1 - 1
MET
62%
23%
15%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1996 |
MON
3 - 1
HUT
70%
19%
11%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1996 |
LHA
1 - 2
MON
21%
25%
53%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |