Bastia vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.8%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
46.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2010 |
NÎM
2 - 1
BAS
61%
23%
16%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2010 |
CAE
1 - 0
BAS
71%
20%
9%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2009 |
BAS
3 - 1
TOU
32%
28%
40%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2009 |
VAN
3 - 0
BAS
52%
26%
22%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2009 |
BAS
1 - 3
CLE
36%
26%
38%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2010 |
MET
1 - 3
CAE
35%
26%
38%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2010 |
MET
0 - 0
BRE
57%
25%
18%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
IST
2 - 2
MET
28%
29%
44%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2010 |
LYO
3 - 0
MET
75%
17%
8%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2009 |
MET
2 - 0
AJA
62%
23%
15%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | +1 |