Bastia vs Creteil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
12.8%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2005 |
CHA
1 - 1
BAS
36%
28%
35%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2005 |
STR
2 - 0
BAS
56%
24%
20%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2005 |
BAS
3 - 1
LEN
37%
28%
35%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2005 |
MON
5 - 2
BAS
76%
16%
8%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2005 |
BAS
2 - 0
IST
61%
24%
16%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Creteil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2005 |
LUS
3 - 2
CAE
26%
26%
48%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2005 |
LUS
4 - 0
REI
52%
26%
23%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2005 |
LUS
3 - 1
STL
44%
27%
29%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2005 |
CLE
0 - 1
LUS
46%
28%
26%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2005 |
LUS
1 - 0
AMI
45%
27%
28%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |