Bassin d'Arcachon Sud vs Trelissac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.2%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
68.3%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+67%
-59%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
1º
10º
9º
0
7º
11º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
13º
|
0 | 49 |
1º
|
41% | |
|
3º
|
0 | 42 |
2º
|
9.5% | |
|
7º
|
0 | 41 |
3º
|
10% | |
|
5º
|
0 | 41 |
4º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
0 | 39 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 38 |
6º
|
10% | |
|
6º
|
0 | 38 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
|
14º
|
0 | 37 |
8º
|
10% | |
|
|
2º
|
0 | 34 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
4º
|
0 | 33 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
1º
|
0 | 33 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 33 |
12º
|
7.5% | |
|
9º
|
0 | 28 |
13º
|
28.5% | |
|
8º
|
0 | 18 |
14º
|
77% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 2.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
48.5% | 63.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
12.5% | 8.5% |
|
Relegation
|
38.5% | 25.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bassin d'Arcachon Sud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
BAS
0 - 2
TRE
12%
21%
67%
|
21 | 45 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
BAS
2 - 1
SAU
10%
18%
72%
|
17 | 41 | 24 | +4 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
BAS
3 - 3
BRE
18%
23%
59%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
CHA
2 - 0
BAS
81%
12%
7%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
BAS
2 - 3
COG
26%
21%
53%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Trelissac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
TRE
0 - 2
ROM
28%
26%
45%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
LRO
5 - 1
TRE
58%
23%
19%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
TRE
1 - 1
STP
28%
28%
44%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
ANG
2 - 2
TRE
25%
26%
49%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
TRE
2 - 3
BOU
33%
27%
40%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |