Basingstoke Town vs Chelmsford City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
56.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basingstoke Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
WEL
1 - 1
BAS
65%
21%
14%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
BAS
0 - 1
BRA
21%
25%
53%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
THU
0 - 0
BAS
67%
19%
14%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2010 |
DOR
6 - 1
BAS
50%
24%
26%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
BAS
1 - 1
HAV
25%
26%
50%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Chelmsford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
HAV
5 - 2
CHM
48%
25%
27%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
CHM
1 - 0
WOR
75%
16%
9%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2010 |
HAM
2 - 1
CHM
39%
26%
35%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
DOR
0 - 3
CHM
28%
25%
46%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2010 |
CHM
1 - 1
BRA
51%
24%
24%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |