Basel vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
12.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1995 |
FCL
3 - 1
BAS
47%
26%
26%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1995 |
BAS
0 - 2
NEX
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1995 |
BAS
1 - 0
YOB
66%
20%
14%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 1995 |
SIO
4 - 1
BAS
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1995 |
BAS
1 - 3
GCZ
38%
27%
36%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1995 |
GCZ
2 - 0
ZUR
79%
14%
7%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1995 |
ZUR
0 - 1
FCL
38%
26%
35%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1995 |
STG
1 - 0
ZUR
64%
21%
15%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1995 |
ZUR
1 - 1
FCA
41%
27%
32%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1995 |
ZUR
0 - 0
YOB
49%
25%
25%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |