Copa del Rey 1/512
Global 2-0
CD Basconia vs Caudal Deportivo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.1%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.8%
7.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Basconia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1969 |
BAS
1 - 0
RAC
81%
12%
6%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1969 |
LEO
1 - 0
BAS
69%
17%
14%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 1969 |
BAS
3 - 2
PON
54%
23%
24%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1969 |
SDE
0 - 3
BAS
56%
22%
22%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +2 |
| 07 Sep. 1969 |
BAS
2 - 0
CDG
75%
16%
9%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Caudal Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1969 |
CAU
0 - 0
PRA
62%
22%
16%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1969 |
CAU
3 - 2
GRA
50%
25%
25%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 1969 |
ROB
1 - 1
CAU
76%
15%
9%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1969 |
CAU
1 - 1
ENS
21%
27%
52%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 1969 |
ALO
1 - 1
CAU
76%
16%
8%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +1 |