CD Basconia vs Barakaldo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
48.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
1º
5º
4º
75
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
75 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
51 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
57.5% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
19% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 35 |
9º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 35 |
10º
|
24% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 34 |
11º
|
35.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 33 |
12º
|
53.5% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
46% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 30 |
14º
|
57% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 27 |
15º
|
82.5% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Basconia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
DEU
2 - 1
BAS
36%
26%
37%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
BAS
1 - 1
CDT
76%
15%
9%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
AUR
0 - 1
BAS
23%
23%
54%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
CDU
2 - 3
BAS
36%
26%
38%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
BAS
2 - 0
CDP
75%
16%
10%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
BAR
2 - 0
LON
79%
14%
7%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
URD
1 - 1
BAR
10%
18%
72%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
BAR
4 - 0
AUR
81%
13%
6%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
DEU
1 - 1
BAR
17%
22%
61%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
BAR
4 - 0
CDT
82%
12%
6%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | 0 |