Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 3-5
CD Basconia vs Aretxabaleta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
11%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.4%
6.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Basconia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1972 |
BAS
2 - 3
CFP
51%
26%
23%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1972 |
LAU
0 - 0
BAS
53%
26%
21%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1972 |
ATX
2 - 1
BAS
21%
24%
55%
|
44 | 22 | 22 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 1972 |
BAS
1 - 0
SIE
77%
16%
8%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1972 |
COM
1 - 0
BAS
45%
27%
27%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Aretxabaleta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1972 |
EJE
1 - 2
ATX
66%
19%
14%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1972 |
ATX
1 - 1
TRJ
35%
27%
38%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1972 |
ATX
2 - 1
BAS
21%
24%
55%
|
22 | 44 | 22 | +3 |
| 17 Sep. 1972 |
RSO
2 - 1
ATX
91%
7%
2%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1972 |
ATX
0 - 0
PUE
19%
28%
53%
|
22 | 51 | 29 | 0 |