Barry Town vs Aberystwyth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
22%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
4º
6º
6º
27
2º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 15 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 12 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
27 | 12 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 11 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
32 | 9 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barry Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
HAV
2 - 1
BAR
56%
24%
20%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
BAR
0 - 0
PEN
28%
26%
46%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
PON
1 - 1
BAR
50%
25%
25%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 1
COL
53%
23%
24%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
ABE
1 - 1
BAR
41%
25%
34%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
PON
0 - 0
ABE
54%
24%
21%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
ABE
0 - 3
PEN
22%
25%
52%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
COL
1 - 2
ABE
50%
23%
27%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
HAV
2 - 0
ABE
60%
23%
17%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
ABE
1 - 1
BAR
41%
25%
34%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |