Barrow vs Newport County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
48.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barrow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
TAM
1 - 3
BAR
49%
24%
27%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2012 |
BAR
2 - 2
GRI
27%
27%
46%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 1
KID
29%
25%
46%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
MAC
2 - 0
BAR
53%
24%
23%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 3
ALF
36%
26%
38%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
NEW
0 - 0
STO
58%
23%
18%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2012 |
DAR
2 - 1
NEW
57%
22%
21%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
WRE
2 - 0
NEW
56%
24%
21%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2012 |
NEW
2 - 0
HER
47%
26%
28%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
BRA
1 - 2
NEW
41%
25%
34%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |