Barrow vs Chesterfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
33.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barrow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
LEY
2 - 2
BAR
57%
22%
21%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2018 |
HAL
2 - 0
BAR
45%
24%
30%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
BAR
3 - 0
HAV
27%
26%
47%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | +2 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
BRA
2 - 0
BAR
48%
24%
28%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2018 |
BAR
5 - 0
LAN
65%
21%
14%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
CHE
1 - 0
BRA
49%
23%
28%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2018 |
CHE
3 - 0
ALD
29%
24%
46%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +3 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
EBB
0 - 1
CHE
71%
17%
11%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2018 |
MAT
4 - 2
CHE
33%
25%
42%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
ALF
2 - 0
CHE
39%
24%
38%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -1 |