Barracas Central vs Sportivo Italiano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.9%
10.4%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+62%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barracas Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
UAI
1 - 1
BAR
34%
30%
36%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
ACA
3 - 1
BAR
45%
28%
27%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 0
PLA
46%
28%
27%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2014 |
COM
2 - 1
BAR
28%
31%
41%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2014 |
BAR
0 - 1
ARM
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Sportivo Italiano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2014 |
ITA
0 - 2
ARM
22%
27%
51%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
ITA
0 - 2
MOR
25%
29%
46%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2014 |
AND
0 - 0
ITA
76%
17%
7%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2014 |
ITA
0 - 3
VSC
26%
29%
45%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
ALM
1 - 1
ITA
63%
23%
14%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | +1 |