Barra Mansa vs Nova Iguaçu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
34.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barra Mansa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
BOA
3 - 1
BAR
58%
23%
19%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
BAN
2 - 1
BAR
56%
25%
19%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
BAR
0 - 1
MAD
28%
27%
45%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
BAR
2 - 2
CAB
29%
25%
47%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 1
RES
31%
27%
42%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Nova Iguaçu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
VAS
5 - 1
NOV
84%
13%
4%
|
45 | 78 | 33 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
BOA
0 - 0
NOV
55%
24%
21%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
NOV
0 - 0
RES
35%
28%
37%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
MAD
4 - 0
NOV
61%
22%
16%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
BOT
2 - 1
NOV
79%
15%
6%
|
46 | 76 | 30 | 0 |