Catarinense 1 Temporada Regular round 9

Barra FC vs Joinville analysis

Barra FC Joinville
53 ELO 55
-14.1% Tilt -12.1%
2554º General ELO ranking 2955º
78º Country ELO ranking 102º
ELO win probability
39%
Barra FC
26.8%
Draw
34.2%
Joinville

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
Barra FC
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
34.2%
Win probability
Joinville
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Barra FC
+5%
+4%
Joinville

ELO progression

Barra FC
Joinville
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Barra FC
Barra FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Feb. 2024
BAR
Barra FC
3 - 0
Concórdia
CAC
30%
27%
43%
51 57 6 0
08 Feb. 2024
CRI
Criciúma
1 - 0
Barra FC
BAR
79%
15%
6%
51 81 30 0
04 Feb. 2024
BAR
Barra FC
0 - 1
Figueirense
FFL
21%
25%
55%
52 64 12 -1
31 Jan. 2024
CHA
Chapecoense
2 - 2
Barra FC
BAR
77%
17%
7%
51 74 23 +1
28 Jan. 2024
BAR
Barra FC
1 - 0
Marcílio Dias
MAR
45%
26%
30%
50 49 1 +1

Matches

Joinville
Joinville
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Feb. 2024
CHA
Chapecoense
2 - 3
Joinville
JEC
74%
18%
8%
54 73 19 0
08 Feb. 2024
JEC
Joinville
2 - 2
Avaí
AVA
13%
21%
67%
53 75 22 +1
04 Feb. 2024
BRU
Brusque
1 - 1
Joinville
JEC
74%
18%
8%
53 70 17 0
02 Feb. 2024
HER
Hercílio Luz
1 - 1
Joinville
JEC
66%
21%
13%
52 62 10 +1
28 Jan. 2024
JEC
Joinville
2 - 1
Internacional SC
INT
71%
18%
10%
52 36 16 0